CNOOC Profit Slides, Cuts Dividend ahead of Canadian Buy
21.08.2012 -
China's leading offshore oil producer CNOOC said its first-half net profit fell by almost a fifth - twice as much as the market had expected - and it cut its dividend by 40% to make room for its $15.1 billion acquisition of Canadian oil firm Nexen.
CNOOC last month launched China's richest foreign takeover bid by agreeing to buy Nexen, whose global portfolios include oil sands and shale gas.
"My view is the market will be split in the second half ... those who think the Nexen deal will go ahead and is a good thing will think that 2013 is going to show good earnings per share growth ... those who don't won't," said Simon Powell, head of Asian Oil and Gas Research at CLSA.
CNOOC is confident it will win Canadian and U.S. regulatory approvals for the Nexen buy, Chairman Wang Yilin told reporters, adding the state-run Chinese company has no plans to divest any Nexen assets after the acquisition.
The deal has been clouded by accusations of insider trading by a company controlled by the chairman of shipbuilder China Rongsheng Heavy Industries Group Holdings. CNOOC executives said on Tuesday they were assisting the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in the case.
If the deal closes in the fourth quarter, as scheduled, it would boost CNOOC's 2013 production and earnings, barring a sharp fall in oil prices, analysts say. CNOOC has said the deal would increase its proven reserves by 30% and production by 20%.
But CNOOC would also face the challenge of monetising potential reserves at a Nexen-operated oil sands project called Long Lake and retaining the Canadian firm's staff in a highly competitive labour market, Powell said.
Cost pressure
Like other oil producers around the world, CNOOC is struggling to grow its production and cut costs as it moves further into the more costly development of unconventional resources such as Canadian oil sands and deepwater hydrocarbon in the South China Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
The Nexen deal should help in China's quest to gain both the technology and operating experience it would need later to extract potentially huge bitumen, heavy oil and shale oil resources at home, industry experts say. Little of China's own such resources, and they are potentially substantial, have been exploited as Beijing focuses on cleaner unconventional energy such as tight gas, coalbed methane and shale gas.
But, spurred by rising oil demand and a need to keep expensive oil imports in check, China will eventually need to develop its own oil sands, heavy oil and shale oil, using the expertise gained from Canada.
Capital raising
January-June net profit slid to 31.87 billion yuan ($5.01 billion) from 39.34 billion yuan a year earlier and came in below an average forecast of 34.2 billion yuan by seven analysts polled by Reuters. The fall was also driven by the launch of a nationwide resource tax in China last November, said Zhong Hua, CNOOC's chief financial officer.
CNOOC said it will pay an interim dividend of HK$0.15 per share, down 40% to set aside capital for the Nexen buy. The company has a cash pile of more than 100 billion yuan ($15.72 billion), but still plans to raise capital for the Nexen acquisition to maintain its credit rating, Zhong said, without elaborating.
CNOOC produced 160.9 million barrels of oil equivalent (boe) in the first half, down 4.6% on year, as it felt the impact of a spill at its Penglai 19-3 field in eastern China's Bohai Bay last year. It is still waiting for approval to resume production at the oilfield, co-owned and operated by ConocoPhillips. Total production lost in 2011 was 5.9 million BOE.
CNOOC, valued at $90 billion on the Hong Kong stock exchange, said it was confident it would hit its production target of 330-340 million boe set for this year, versus 331.8 million boe in 2011.
January-June all-in costs hit $34.6 per barrel, up 13.1% from the average level in the whole of 2011, partially offsetting an 8.1% increase in realised crude oil prices and a 20% rise in realised natural gas prices, CNOOC said. It attributed the increase to rising industry costs and changes in the company's asset structure.